Initial 2014 fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings part two

Below is part two (of three) the starting pitcher rankings for 2014. Part one can be found here. The players are ranked as if I was doing a fantasy draft today. In general, these are the types of pitchers who may not have the 21% strikeout rate, but provide elite level performance in other categories.

Previous rankings: Catchers, First Base, Second Base, Third Base, Shortstop Outfield part one and part two, Pitchers part one, part two, and part three.

35. Hiroki Kuroda – it’s possible Kuroda could retire, but not very likely; it seems extremely likely the Yankees will bring him back on a year deal.

36. Francisco Liriano – got lucky with his strand rate; strikeout rate maintained and he reduced his walk rate nearly three percentage points compared to 2012.

37. Justin Mastersonincreased his strikeout rate nearly seven percentage points; appeared to finally figure out a way to get lefties out.

38. Kris Medlen – no statistical outliers suggest he should have another similar year in 2014; only walked 5.7% of batters, which allows his 19.2% strikeout rate to play up.

39. Chris Archer – only had 19.2% strikeout rate, but has the raw stuff to miss a lot of bats. After David Price is traded, he is almost guaranteed a spot in the starting rotation.

40. Johnny Cueto – biggest question for Cueto is health.

41. Andrew Cashner – 1.95 ERA and 0.97 WHIP at Petco vs 4.00 ERA and 1.26 WHIP on the road (in 2013); more valuable in H2H leagues.

42. Doug Fisterhad a 54% ground ball rate and could be headed for a breakout with Jose Iglesias manning shortstop for an entire year; also, the poor defense could be the reason why is ERA has been higher than his FIP and xFIP the past two seasons.

43. Rick Porcello – see Doug Fister; also increased his strikeout rate 5.5 percentage points and will turn only 25 in December.

44. Sonny Gray – two pitch pitcher who will get figured out unless the changeup becomes more than a “show me” pitch; the two pitches he does throw are easily plus though.

45. Corey Kluber – probably have him ranked too low; if he can stay healthy, he’ll most likely finish in the top 25 among starting pitchers.

46. John Lackey – turned himself into a strike throwing and ground ball generating machine.

47. Ivan Nova – after coming off the DL, in late June, he was fantastic (in 17 starts); in those starts he had a 2.70 ERA, 1.19 WHIP with a 18.8% strikeout rate and 7.1% walk rate.

48. Ricky Nolasco – bucked the strikeout rate trend; went from 15% in 2012 to 19.8% in 2013; if that rate continues he could have a very good year pitching in the friendly confines of Dodger stadium and in the worst division in the majors.

49. Matt Moore – his scouting reports made me a big fan of his for the past two seasons, but at a certain point you cannot ignore the statistical data; he simply walks too many batters to be a consistent fantasy option; he has the upside to be a top ten pitcher, but I’ll wait until he puts it all together.

50. Jered Weaver – strikeout rates and fastball velocity continue to drop, but still plays in a good pitchers park and behind a good offense when healthy.

51. Zack Wheeler – probably too high on him; he still has command issues and will play behind another bad offense and bullpen; will most likely go too high in drafts to be any sort of value.

52. Trevor Rosenthal – if he begins the year in the rotation, he’s a top 20 pitcher.

53. R. A. Dickey – dealt with a myriad of injuries in 2013; second half peripherals (3.56 ERA and 1.17 WHIP) suggest he could be an extremely valuable late round flier.

54. Clay Buchholz – will have a lot of hype going into drafts, but I’ve never been fan of the stuff.

55. Ervin Santana – benefited greatly from pitching behind the best defense in the majors and in a good pitchers park; if plays for another team he won’t have that benefit (duh).

56. Matt Garza – after being acquired by the Rangers he posted a 4.38 ERA and 1.32 WHIP; that said, his peripherals look the same as they did when he pitched for the Cubs.

57. Eric Stults – very good-elite pitcher when he pitches at home; recommend using him in tandem with other pitchers with dramatic home-road splits; example: pitchers in Colorado.

58. Jose Quintana – solid pitcher; will get enough run support to get wins?

59. Carlos Torres – quietly posted a 3.44 ERA and 1.11 WHIP with a 21% strikeout rate;

60. Lance Lynn – it’s starting to look as though Lynn should be a reliever because it seems he cannot handle a starting pitchers workload; would be an excellent 2-3 inning reliever if he played in a different era.

61. David Phelps – got a little unlucky with the BABIP (.321); will be prone to big innings if his walk rate stays a tick above 9%

62. Jarrod Parker – will be over hyped in drafts, but I’ve seen all of his starts and he’s a pitch to contact guy who relies on his defense; I’ll admit a lot of the contact he generates is weak contact, but with a 16% strikeout rate I will let someone else draft him.

63. Jon Niese – I bet people look at his 1.44 WHIP and quickly chop his 3.71 ERA as a regression candidate; however, after coming off the DL with a neck injury he posted a 3.00 ERA, 1.24 WHIP with a 20.6% strikeout rate and 5.5% walk rate;

64. Scott Feldman – solid pitcher who won’t hurt you in any category; could have 14+ wins he stays on the Orioles all year.

65. Dillion Gee – in his last 18 starts he had a 3.00 ERA, 1.18 WHIP with a 14.8% strikeout rate and 5.3% walk rate; Gee is a perfect candidate for a pitching staff with players like David Phelps or other high WHIP pitchers.

66. Hector Santiago – see Jose Quintana; in all seriousness, he walked 11% of the batters he faced; in order for me to draft pitchers with walk totals that high they better have elite strikeout rates (>24%).

67. Jake Arrieta – if he can put it all together, the Cubs have a number two starter; still has major command issues.

This entry was posted in Fantasy Baseball. Bookmark the permalink.

Comments are closed.