Jordan Lyles’ 2013 Fantasy Value

Despite having a 1.50 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in Jordan Lyles’ last three games. Having played in the majors since 2011 it’s easy to forget Lyles is only 22 years old. After watching a few of his starts the past two years Lyles doesn’t have overly impressive stuff, but has plus command of his fastball (sits at 89-92 mph) and command of his other three pitches (changeup, slider and curveball). Pitchers like Lyles have ceilings of a number three starter, which he has a really good chance of achieving. However, from a fantasy perspective Lyles isn’t someone you want on your roster besides deep leagues. This year he has a swing and miss rate of 18.2 percent, which ranks 116th overall among starters with at least five starts this year. On the bright side he has a ground ball rate of 50 percent (that ranks 31st overall among starters) he should have lower BABIPs and LOB rates, which will make him a serviceable fantasy spot starter. In terms of his start yesterday, he consistently pitched with men on-base and in scoring position (in five of his seven innings). In one inning the bases were loaded with zero outs and he was able to pitch out it.

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