Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitcher Rankings: Week 9

The match ups and data you see below were pulled Friday morning. The data is for the 2015 season. Please be aware the match ups are subject to change. If you have any questions about the rankings hit me up Twitter @MattCommins

These are rankings for the entire week so I give the edge to a lot of fantasy pitchers who pitch twice. Also, the rankings are based on traditional 5×5 categories. I also provide write-ups for a few pitchers. My hope is after you read them you have a better understanding of why I ranked them.

Stephen Strasburg left Friday’s game in the second inning and I currently do not know the extent of the injury, but as of now I’m not confident he will be able to make his next scheduled start. The same is also true of Scott Kazmir; at this point I do not know if he’ll be healthy for his next scheduled start. Even if both pitchers made their starts I have no idea if they’ll be able to finish the starts.

I was a huge believer in Collin McHugh entering the season and even though he hasn’t performed as well as last year I’m still buying him. The strike percentage and swing and miss rate are nearly identical as last year. Also, the ground ball rate is up and the walk rate is down. He may not have the upside of a strikeout per inning, but I still believe he finishes the year with a sub-3.20 ERA.

The Rays have the seventh highest wOBA against lefties, but I’m still recommending C.J. Wilson because of how well he performed against the Tigers, who at the time of his start lead the majors in wOBA against lefties.

Michael Wacha has been great this year, but his FIP suggests a regression is coming. However, I don’t see it starting against the Dodgers. What’s interesting about Wacha is he’s become a pitch-to-contact pitcher, ground ball pitcher and has decided to basically no longer strike anyone out. Pitchers like this are higher variance pitchers, but he’s facing Carlos Frias so he has a great chance to get a win.

Irregardless of all the injuries on the A’s pitching staff, Jesse Chavez has pitched well enough to earn a rotation spot the rest of the year. The Red Sox offense has been struggling the past month (23rd in wOBA), but eventually David Ortiz and Hanley Ramirez are going to start hitting. Since pitching is relatively thin this week you’re probably going to start Chavez either way, but I’m wary he may not have a good outing.

I’m not a believer in what Tim Lincecum is doing this year, but he’s facing the Phillies, who have scored the lowest total of runs this year (which is extremely low considering how much of a hitters park their home stadium is).

Last year Matt Shoemaker allowed 14 home runs all of last year. This year he’s allowed 13. All of his peripheral statistics indicate he’s the same exact pitcher as last year. For example, the strike out rate, walk rate, swing and miss rate are all the same. However, the big change is the ground ball rate. This year it’s 33 percent compared to 42 percent last year. The lower ground ball rate is coming at the expense of the fly ball rate, which is contributing to the increased number of home runs allowed this year. The biggest reason why he’s struggled this season has been the inconsistent command of the changeup. This year he’s been leaving it in the middle of the zone far too often. If the command of that pitch improves then he’ll allow less home runs.


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