Adam LaRoche’s 2015 Fantasy Value

If you like what you’re reading then you will like my 2015 Fantasy Baseball Guide! Last year’s fantasy guide was more than 150,000 words and had 440 player profiles (of hitters and pitchers). My approach to player evaluation is to ask questions about what the player has done in the past and what he may do in the future. I certainly provide a narrative on how I feel a player will perform, but I also ask a lot of open ended questions that I hope will get you thinking about the information I’ve provided.

Yesterday the White Sox signed Adam LaRoche to a two year $25M contract to serve as the DH. On draft day LaRoche is not going to get a lot of ooooh’s and awwww’s by your opponents but you’re going to be getting a player who won’t win you your league and most importantly, won’t lose you your league.

For career he’s basically averaged 25 home runs with .259-plus batting average for pretty much for his whole career and I do not see any indication he’s going to stop in 2015.

After his worst fantasy season (where he played a full year) he had a nice bounce back season in 2014. The strikeout rate decreased four percentage points and was the second lowest of his Major League career; also, the contact rate was the highest its been since 2008.

In regards to the power he should see an up-tick in power because he’s moving to one of the best home run parks in the majors. In the last two years he’s hit 162 fly balls and he has a career 15% HR/FB rate. Last year his HR/FB rate was 16% so even if that stabilizes in 2015 he’s going to hit 26 home runs again (and with room for more).

LaRoche struggles against lefties. Since 2008 he has a .233/.288/.413 slash line against lefties (in 1,060 PAs) so he’ll likely be platooned, which would increase his fantasy viability because he would hit 30-40 points higher.

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